SWAT Literature Database for Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles

Title:Technical note: The impact of spatial scale in bias correction of climate model output for hydrologic impact studies 
Authors:Maurer, E.P., D.L. Ficklin and W. Wang 
Journal:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 
Volume (Issue):20(2) 
Article ID: 
URL (non-DOI journals): 
Broad Application Category:hydrologic only 
Primary Application Category:climate change 
Secondary Application Category:hydrologic assessment 
Watershed Description:Colombia river, Upper Colorado River and Sierra Nevada River, which drains portions of 11 western U.S. states (and the Colombia drains part of western Canada). 
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Abstract:Statistical downscaling is a commonly used technique for translating large-scale climate model output to a scale appropriate for assessing impacts. To ensure downscaled meteorology can be used in climate impact studies, downscaling must correct biases in the large-scale signal. A simple and generally effective method for accommodating systematic biases in large-scale model output is quantile mapping, which has been applied to many variables and shown to reduce biases on average, even in the presence of non-stationarity. Quantile-mapping bias correction has been applied at spatial scales ranging from hundreds of kilometers to individual points, such as weather station locations. Since water resources and other models used to simulate climate impacts are sensitive to biases in input meteorology, there is a motivation to apply bias correction at a scale fine enough that the downscaled data closely resemble historically observed data, though past work has identified undesirable consequences to applying quantile mapping at too fine a scale. This study explores the role of the spatial scale at which the quantile-mapping bias correction is applied, in the context of estimating high and low daily streamflows across the western United States. We vary the spatial scale at which quantile mapping bias correction is performed from 2 degree (~200 km) to 1/8 degree (~12 km) within a statistical downscaling procedure, and use the downscaled daily precipitation and temperature to drive a hydrology model. We find that little additional benefit is obtained, and some skill is degraded, when using quantile mapping at scales finer than approximately 0.5 degree (~50 km). This can provide guidance to those applying the quantile-mapping bias correction method for hydrologic impacts analysis.