| Title: | Impact of climate change on the water cycle and nutrient losses in a Finnish catchment |
| Authors: | Bouraoui, F., B. Grizzetti, K. Granlund, S. Rekolainen and G. Bidoglio |
| Year: | 2004 |
| Journal: | Climatic Change |
| Volume (Issue): | 66(1-2) |
| Pages: | 109-126 |
| Article ID: | |
| DOI: | 10.1023/B:CLIM.0000043147.09365.e3 |
| URL (non-DOI journals): | |
| Model: | SWAT |
| Broad Application Category: | hydrologic and pollutant |
| Primary Application Category: | climate change |
| Secondary Application Category: | pollutant cycling/loss and transport |
| Watershed Description: | 1682 km^2 Vantaanjoki, which drains into the Gulf of Finland north of the city of Helsinki in southern Finland. |
| Calibration Summary: | daily (1982-84; 295 km^2 subbasin) E values: flow = .81 sus. sed. = .44 total N = .61 total P = .74 |
| Validation Summary: | monthly E values at outlet: flow (1965-98) = .87 nitrate (1974-98) E = .34 total P (1974-98) E = .62 |
| General Comments: | SWAT was judged to adequately replicate observed baseline flow and nutrient losses for the entire watershed. 230 Monte Carlo simualtions were then performed for 6-year period of 1985-90; sensitivity analysis of hydrologic-sensitive parameters including the curve number and available water capacity. The impact of measured transient climate change was assessed for 1965-98. Decreases in snow cover and increased winter runoff were found. Small increases in annual nutrient losses were predicted (with some large seasonal effects). |
| Language: | English |
| Keywords: | |