| Title: | Modeling the impacts of climate change on water supply reliabilities |
| Authors: | Muttiah, R. S. and R. A. Wurbs |
| Year: | 2002 |
| Journal: | Water International |
| Volume (Issue): | 27(3) |
| Pages: | 407-419 |
| Article ID: | |
| DOI: | 10.1080/02508060208687020 |
| URL (non-DOI journals): | |
| Model: | SWAT |
| Broad Application Category: | hydrologic only |
| Primary Application Category: | climate change |
| Secondary Application Category: | model and/or data interface |
| Watershed Description: | 7,300 km^2 San Jacinto River, located in southeastern Texas, U.S. |
| Calibration Summary: | graphical comparisons shown between simulated and measured streamflow for selected subwatersheds |
| Validation Summary: | |
| General Comments: | Study reports results of driving SWAT with the CGCM1/M2 GCM models, and then inputting SWAT results into WRAP to assess water supply feasibility for present (year 2000) and future (year 2050) conditions for Houston and other San Jacinto water users. Seasonal fluctuations for 2050 were greater than current conditions; long-term mean streamflows increased in 2050 due to significant increases in floods and other high flows. Overall, the water supply was found to more reliable in 2050. |
| Language: | English |
| Keywords: | climate change, water supply, reliability, modeling |